Honestly who cares now. Even Google is pretty much planning to move to the HTML 5 video tag. Chrome already supports it to I imagine "Chrome lite" will too. If YouTube moves then you can expect just about every video site out there to move to that and leave Flash behind. Outside of video and games I don't think people view that much Flash on average.
Internet Explorer won't be supporting HTML 5 until the standards been finalized. So yeah all the other major browsers may have some support for it now but until IE takes up HTML 5 you can expect flash to stay dominate.
Even when it does come around Flash will have a long life thanks to people not upgrading from ie 6 - 8
Great news.
I think we have to remember that Flash is a lot more than a simple internet plugin to enhance your browsing experience. Flash can be used in hundreds of different ways, just like Java can. app developers should be able to take advantage of the power of Flash and create some very cool games and apps on the Android platform that they then simply transfer over to WM or Symbian. It's so much more than watching video clips in your browser.
http://htcsource.com/index.php?optio...db2d3dc10f4a6d
Flash is always great in theory and theres always someone to say its more than just a plugin for watching videos. But for the most part these other great uses don't have actual implementations in the real world. Its simply not used outside of video and online flash games.
Also Google is working away to drive HTML 5 consumer adoption. Look for their Wave service to require it. It will be popular and will drive any browser not supporting HTML 5 (mainly IE) to support it and users to upgrade or switch. I'm not one to say "technology X is dead" like many other zealots but in this case....
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